2018 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

World Series Champion: Boston Red Sox

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	3.98	81.9	9.1	6312	3.5	114.8	-111.3	1.06	5.1	-1.7	1.6%	103.7%	-102.1%	1.60	-1.9%	80.6	8.9	0.94	61.3	217	121	235
Atlanta Braves	4.06	56.4	6.3	6386	6.5	112.0	-105.5	1.02	6.0	0.3	5.7%	93.4%	-87.6%	1.42	0.4%	50.7	5.7	0.96	57.0	183	126	244
Baltimore Orioles	5.51	-142.4	-13.3	6570	-14.8	102.7	-117.5	.94	-18.8	3.2	-1.0%	9.3%	-10.3%	.14	-3.6%	-172.4	-16.0	0.97	-203.3	136	82	271
Boston Red Sox	3.99	109.3	11.5	6335	12.0	110.4	-98.4	.99	9.2	2.9	7.4%	50.5%	-43.1%	.75	4.0%	106.0	11.1	0.93	111.3	166	130	239
Chicago Cubs	3.96	86.6	9.2	6460	13.2	113.8	-100.6	.99	7.0	6.3	12.0%	99.0%	-87.0%	1.44	4.1%	78.9	8.5	0.95	61.9	219	129	252
Chicago White Sox	5.23	-101.3	-9.4	6639	-9.8	103.2	-113.0	.94	-8.2	-2.2	-2.1%	13.0%	-15.0%	.20	-7.0%	-123.2	-11.5	0.98	-88.1	169	104	280
Cincinnati Reds	5.06	-79.3	-7.3	6449	-7.5	98.9	-106.4	.90	-12.3	3.9	-1.2%	7.6%	-8.8%	.12	-4.7%	-114.0	-10.4	0.96	-132.6	145	119	280
Cleveland Indians	4.00	95.8	10.3	6255	10.9	111.6	-100.7	.99	7.4	3.6	4.8%	52.6%	-47.8%	.78	1.6%	104.3	11.3	0.91	87.9	165	100	244
Colorado Rockies	4.57	59.8	6.6	6370	3.6	112.6	-109.0	1.03	2.7	0.8	4.5%	113.5%	-109.0%	1.70	1.0%	14.4	1.8	0.93	30.6	176	120	222
Detroit Tigers	4.91	-17.8	-1.3	6301	-6.1	102.6	-108.8	.95	-4.2	-2.3	-0.6%	34.7%	-35.3%	.53	-0.7%	-59.1	-5.2	0.93	-46.6	174	119	249
Houston Astros	3.30	179.5	18.5	6083	18.8	112.1	-93.3	1.01	18.7	-0.1	11.8%	80.4%	-68.6%	1.21	-0.9%	203.9	21.4	0.90	210.5	173	114	223
Kansas City Royals	5.14	-88.3	-8.2	6466	-8.8	106.6	-115.4	.99	-7.5	-1.3	-1.6%	12.5%	-14.1%	.20	-5.2%	-107.7	-10.0	0.95	-88.5	163	88	232
Los Angeles Angels	4.46	7.9	1.1	6299	-0.6	102.1	-102.6	.94	-0.4	-0.2	0.3%	37.4%	-37.0%	.57	1.7%	0.8	0.6	0.94	-12.2	147	150	304
Los Angeles Dodgers	3.74	82.1	8.9	6261	8.1	111.8	-103.7	1.01	10.9	-2.8	11.9%	110.7%	-98.9%	1.65	0.6%	97.5	10.9	0.92	119.3	186	146	260
Miami Marlins	5.02	-145.0	-14.3	6406	-7.0	101.9	-108.9	.96	-7.7	0.4	-1.2%	11.1%	-12.3%	.18	-4.2%	-133.3	-13.4	0.96	-111.6	169	117	260
Milwaukee Brewers	4.04	57.1	6.3	6296	7.2	110.8	-103.7	1.02	8.5	-1.5	9.3%	103.9%	-94.6%	1.58	0.7%	55.5	6.1	0.94	76.7	183	138	238
Minnesota Twins	4.78	-29.7	-2.4	6479	-2.3	113.5	-115.8	1.04	-4.1	1.8	-0.6%	42.2%	-42.8%	.64	1.3%	-36.2	-2.8	0.96	-53.9	178	130	258
New York Mets	4.36	-55.5	-4.3	6392	3.3	111.0	-107.8	1.03	0.7	2.5	-1.1%	31.3%	-32.5%	.49	0.2%	-30.4	-1.6	0.94	-21.6	161	118	222
New York Yankees	4.13	67.3	7.0	6363	8.6	109.0	-100.4	.98	7.7	1.1	4.5%	54.3%	-49.8%	.81	0.7%	70.2	7.4	0.94	90.7	153	124	231
Oakland Athletics	4.16	58.3	6.3	6331	12.2	110.5	-98.3	.98	7.2	5.2	8.1%	67.7%	-59.7%	1.00	3.9%	61.3	6.7	0.93	78.8	177	137	264
Philadelphia Phillies	4.49	-4.5	0.2	6396	4.6	110.1	-105.5	1.00	0.0	4.6	3.8%	87.6%	-83.7%	1.32	2.4%	-23.4	-1.5	0.94	-8.1	185	149	262
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.30	-13.4	-1.0	6345	2.5	106.4	-104.0	.99	-0.6	3.1	-1.3%	43.4%	-44.6%	.68	-1.1%	-9.7	-0.4	0.97	-18.5	147	100	233
San Diego Padres	4.73	-91.9	-8.6	6459	-5.3	106.0	-111.4	.98	-4.7	-0.8	-1.0%	16.3%	-17.3%	.25	-3.0%	-83.8	-8.0	0.95	-59.3	179	103	253
Seattle Mariners	4.39	-3.7	0.1	6236	6.7	110.0	-103.3	.99	0.0	6.8	4.2%	72.6%	-68.5%	1.09	3.7%	5.5	1.0	0.93	4.3	187	152	198
San Francisco Giants	4.31	-26.6	-2.2	6365	0.8	112.6	-111.8	1.04	-2.3	3.0	0.4%	51.1%	-50.8%	.79	1.2%	-15.8	-1.1	0.95	-16.5	215	96	238
St. Louis Cardinals	4.27	-0.8	0.3	6416	0.4	108.7	-108.4	1.02	-0.4	0.8	-0.1%	82.8%	-82.8%	1.30	-0.1%	2.3	0.7	0.97	-1.1	163	145	257
Tampa Bay Rays	3.99	66.4	7.2	6184	12.3	111.2	-98.9	1.03	11.0	0.9	1.9%	22.2%	-20.3%	.35	-1.5%	75.3	8.4	0.93	111.9	192	182	179
Texas Rangers	5.23	-23.3	-1.9	6409	-6.8	103.5	-110.3	.92	-10.7	3.4	-1.0%	12.1%	-13.2%	.19	-2.6%	-89.4	-7.9	0.95	-106.9	158	116	232
Toronto Blue Jays	5.14	-93.9	-8.9	6518	-7.2	106.3	-113.5	.98	-11.0	3.6	-1.2%	23.5%	-24.7%	.35	0.2%	-110.2	-10.5	0.96	-127.7	159	146	285
Washington Nationals	4.21	42.7	4.9	6270	2.9	105.5	-102.5	.97	5.2	-2.1	2.1%	53.2%	-51.0%	.81	-0.3%	34.7	4.2	0.93	44.8	175	121	267
League Average	4.45	4	1	6368	2	108	-106	.99	0	2	3%	53%	-50%	.80	2%	-2	0	0	2	173	124	247
	4.45	133.9	30.9	191051	61.8	3252.1	-3190.5	.99	14.3	48.1	80.5%	1593.7%	-1513.3%	.80	68.8%	-66.8	14.6	0.94	50.6	5200	3722	7412
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo