2024 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.72	-4.9	-0.3	1397	-0.6	23.9	-24.5	1.01	0.8	-1.4	-0.5%	13.0%	-13.6%	.92	-1.0%	3.6	0.7	0.95	12.0	37	24	56
Atlanta Braves	3.97	19.5	2.2	1267	4.2	24.5	-20.3	1.06	4.3	-0.4	2.8%	16.7%	-13.9%	1.21	-0.3%	31.4	3.5	0.93	46.9	39	23	44
Baltimore Orioles	3.66	16.3	1.9	1323	3.8	23.8	-20.1	.99	3.4	0.3	2.8%	15.8%	-13.0%	1.08	0.5%	34.7	4.1	0.89	34.9	39	27	53
Boston Red Sox	3.47	43.7	4.9	1371	3.4	25.2	-21.8	1.06	4.8	-1.5	1.9%	15.1%	-13.2%	1.06	-1.0%	46.4	5.1	0.93	56.6	42	34	37
Chicago Cubs	4.27	17.5	2.6	1454	3.2	29.0	-25.8	1.13	3.3	-0.4	2.1%	18.6%	-16.5%	1.21	-0.3%	17.9	2.7	0.95	28.5	51	23	48
Chicago White Sox	5.42	-32.4	-3.1	1448	-3.1	24.1	-27.2	1.02	-2.8	-0.3	-0.5%	5.7%	-6.2%	.40	0.3%	-31.8	-3.0	0.95	-31.6	50	30	51
Cincinnati Reds	4.40	9.8	1.1	1373	0.8	20.3	-19.5	.88	0.8	0.2	0.4%	11.6%	-11.3%	.84	0.0%	10.5	1.2	0.94	12.0	28	26	53
Cleveland Guardians	3.81	13.7	1.8	1426	3.3	27.8	-24.5	1.09	2.4	0.6	2.3%	19.5%	-17.2%	1.27	0.4%	31.6	3.7	0.95	27.4	60	32	50
Colorado Rockies	5.86	-25.2	-2.2	1417	-4.0	20.3	-24.3	.90	-2.4	-2.1	-1.6%	6.2%	-7.8%	.46	-2.2%	-34.4	-2.9	0.96	-21.8	28	23	50
Detroit Tigers	3.83	21.4	2.4	1366	3.1	27.0	-23.9	1.10	3.7	-0.8	1.9%	17.1%	-15.2%	1.16	-0.5%	31.8	3.5	0.92	42.9	50	24	33
Houston Astros	5.17	-34.9	-3.0	1420	-1.8	23.1	-24.8	.97	-2.0	0.2	-0.8%	8.8%	-9.6%	.62	-0.2%	-19.3	-1.2	0.99	-16.5	35	28	57
Kansas City Royals	3.38	30.1	3.4	1392	4.1	26.5	-22.4	1.06	3.2	0.6	2.5%	16.7%	-14.2%	1.12	0.3%	42.9	4.8	0.96	39.7	42	27	44
Los Angeles Angels	5.11	-19.9	-1.9	1416	-1.7	20.0	-21.7	.82	-0.8	-1.3	-0.9%	10.0%	-10.8%	.68	-0.7%	-16.3	-1.3	0.93	-7.6	18	24	66
Los Angeles Dodgers	3.66	33.1	3.5	1456	4.1	24.1	-20.0	.93	5.2	-0.8	2.8%	16.6%	-13.8%	1.07	-0.5%	47.3	5.1	0.91	57.1	35	36	49
Miami Marlins	5.76	-35.5	-3.0	1561	-4.1	23.5	-27.6	.94	-1.5	-2.8	-1.2%	6.5%	-7.7%	.44	-1.6%	-36.8	-2.9	0.98	-20.8	35	32	62
Milwaukee Brewers	4.34	4.3	0.7	1378	2.8	24.1	-21.3	1.01	1.4	1.4	2.0%	16.5%	-14.5%	1.15	0.9%	12.1	1.6	0.95	11.8	41	28	48
Minnesota Twins	4.31	-2.7	-0.1	1341	1.8	22.9	-21.1	.97	2.4	-0.5	0.9%	12.4%	-11.4%	.87	-0.4%	12.1	1.5	0.92	25.5	43	26	44
New York Mets	4.33	7.1	1.0	1463	2.5	28.3	-25.8	1.15	2.0	0.1	1.2%	15.1%	-13.9%	1.03	0.0%	16.9	2.1	0.99	25.1	56	26	42
New York Yankees	3.43	35.0	3.7	1428	5.4	28.7	-23.3	1.13	3.6	1.1	3.7%	19.9%	-16.3%	1.31	0.6%	46.6	5.0	0.96	36.1	48	25	38
Oakland Athletics	4.49	-9.4	-0.8	1458	1.9	23.9	-22.0	.92	-0.3	2.4	0.5%	11.0%	-10.5%	.71	0.9%	-3.1	0.0	0.98	-8.2	34	29	48
Philadelphia Phillies	3.62	32.6	3.8	1417	5.2	25.5	-20.3	1.00	4.7	0.6	3.2%	15.9%	-12.7%	1.04	0.3%	40.2	4.7	0.93	51.3	44	20	44
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.08	14.5	1.6	1428	2.4	26.0	-23.6	1.04	2.3	0.0	1.2%	15.5%	-14.3%	1.04	-0.2%	22.8	2.5	0.94	27.4	48	22	43
San Diego Padres	4.67	-11.5	-0.9	1511	-0.9	23.3	-24.3	.91	0.2	-1.2	-0.7%	13.3%	-14.0%	.87	-0.8%	-1.8	0.1	0.93	4.0	36	33	64
Seattle Mariners	3.33	25.9	2.9	1326	2.9	22.3	-19.4	.95	4.6	-1.5	1.5%	12.8%	-11.3%	.91	-1.1%	41.4	4.8	0.89	51.3	33	22	53
San Francisco Giants	4.68	-16.6	-1.1	1433	1.4	21.7	-20.3	.89	1.0	0.5	0.5%	11.3%	-10.8%	.78	0.0%	-6.6	0.0	0.95	4.3	28	26	63
St. Louis Cardinals	4.47	4.3	0.8	1386	0.7	24.2	-23.5	.99	1.0	-0.3	0.3%	12.1%	-11.9%	.83	-0.3%	9.1	1.3	0.94	13.1	32	39	41
Tampa Bay Rays	4.89	-22.8	-2.1	1479	0.8	25.9	-25.1	1.04	0.2	0.6	0.3%	13.3%	-13.1%	.90	0.2%	-5.3	-0.3	0.94	0.6	50	25	40
Texas Rangers	4.05	8.9	1.3	1408	4.1	25.0	-21.0	1.00	4.2	-0.1	2.4%	15.4%	-12.9%	1.02	-0.1%	22.8	2.9	0.92	42.8	43	23	41
Toronto Blue Jays	4.86	-26.7	-2.4	1393	0.1	20.9	-20.8	.85	-2.1	2.2	0.1%	11.4%	-11.3%	.78	1.4%	-17.4	-1.4	0.96	-27.2	19	38	63
Washington Nationals	4.34	2.6	0.7	1388	1.0	24.0	-23.0	.99	0.9	0.1	0.2%	12.1%	-11.9%	.84	-0.2%	8.8	1.4	0.97	10.6	38	36	54
League Average	4.35	3	1	1411	2	24	-23	.99	2	-0	1%	14%	-12%	.92	0%	12	2	0	18	39	28	49
	4.35	97.7	19.4	42324	46.6	729.6	-683.0	.99	48.4	-1.5	31.3%	405.9%	-374.6%	.92	5.0%	358.1	49.1	0.94	528.4	1182	831	1479
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo